Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Samford

70.6%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -240

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 72

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 80

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricEast Tennessee State

54.1MMH Power Index57.4

113.5Offensive Efficiency115.1

108.3Defensive Efficiency102.8

5.2Net Efficiency12.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

69.5Tempo67.4

54.0%Effective FG%55.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

42.5%Free Throw Rate35.0%

3.6Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.5), defensive efficiency (102.8–108.3), net efficiency (12.3–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–3.7), ball security (13.3–15.1), free throw rate (42.5–35.0).

Final

Samford

59—66

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 7 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

20-63FG18-52

32.0%FG%35.0%

10-333PT9-30

30.0%3PT%30.0%

9-18FT21-27

50.0%FT%78.0%

42Rebounds42

17Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists13

14Turnovers14

7Steals11

4Blocks12

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Brownell	F	20	5-11	4-7	4-5	6	0	0	0	18
Rylan Jones	Guard	33	5-14	3-8	2-2	6	3	2	0	15
Riley Allenspach	F	16	4-9	0-0	1-4	9	0	0	0	9
Trey Fort	G	19	1-9	1-7	2-2	3	1	0	0	5
Hamed Olayinka	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	3	4
Lukas Walls	G	30	1-4	1-2	0-2	3	1	1	1	3
Julian Brown	Guard	22	1-7	1-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Isaiah West	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	2
Collin Holloway	Forward	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Josh Holloway	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quimari Peterson	G	39	8-18	4-9	2-3	7	3	6	0	22
Maki Johnson	G	34	4-9	4-9	6-8	9	3	0	1	18
Karon Boyd	F	38	3-4	0-0	8-10	5	1	3	4	14
John Buggs III	Guard	37	2-10	1-8	3-4	6	3	0	2	8
Jaden Seymour	Forward	23	0-7	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	3	2
Gabe Sisk	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
DJ Hughes	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2	0
Allen Strothers	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

87.1Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency87.1

-10.3Net Efficiency10.3

39.7%Effective FG%43.3%

41.2%True Shooting %50.9%

20.4%Turnover Rate21.0%

28.6%Free Throw Rate51.9%

52.4%3-Point Rate57.7%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.