Grambling

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Grambling

53.3%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -114

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrambling 73

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Team Comparison

GramblingMetricAlabama State

41.4MMH Power Index38

100.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

100.4Defensive Efficiency107.4

0.3Net Efficiency-5.7

-5.7Strength of Schedule-6.2

-0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

69.9Tempo71.9

49.2%Effective FG%48.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

42.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

0.2Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Grambling

77—67

Alabama State

Grambling by 10 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GramblingTEAM STATAlabama State

26-54FG25-61

48.0%FG%41.0%

8-193PT8-24

42.0%3PT%33.0%

17-21FT9-13

81.0%FT%69.0%

40Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists10

14Turnovers10

8Steals8

2Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kintavious Dozier	G	34	9-15	7-11	5-5	3	0	1	0	30
Mikale Stevenson	G	35	5-12	0-2	5-7	3	4	2	0	15
Ernest Ross	Forward	20	4-6	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	9
PJ Eason	F	21	2-3	0-0	3-4	10	1	0	1	7
Emeka Nnaji	Forward	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Antwan Burnett	G	34	1-4	0-1	3-4	10	0	3	0	5
Emareyon McDonald	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cbo Newton	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Lou Hutchinson	G	19	0-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
James Flippin	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dupree Fletcher	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amarr Knox	G	37	6-16	0-3	5-7	2	4	1	0	17
TJ Madlock	Guard	33	6-11	1-2	2-2	6	4	2	1	15
CJ Hines	G	32	4-9	3-7	0-0	0	1	1	0	11
JaSteven Walker	F	26	5-9	1-3	0-0	7	0	2	1	11
D'Ante Bass	Forward	17	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	2	1	6
Micah Octave	G	28	1-6	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Micah Simpson	G	16	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Ubong Okon	C	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

115.6Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency115.6

15.0Net Efficiency-15.0

55.6%Effective FG%47.5%

60.2%True Shooting %49.9%

21.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

38.9%Free Throw Rate21.3%

35.2%3-Point Rate39.3%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Grambling won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.