Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Wake Forest

59.5%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -147

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 76

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreCalifornia 80

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricCalifornia

57.6MMH Power Index56.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency111.8

109.7Defensive Efficiency104.8

2.7Net Efficiency7.0

7.2Strength of Schedule2.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.2Tempo69.9

52.8%Effective FG%52.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

36.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

1.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–109.7), net efficiency (7.0–2.7), recent form (1.8–-0.1), ball security (14.9–15.5).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.6–56.5), offensive efficiency (112.4–111.8), strength of schedule (7.2–2.8).

Final

Wake Forest

76—66

California

Wake Forest by 10 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATCalifornia

30-52FG19-53

58.0%FG%36.0%

3-83PT8-28

38.0%3PT%29.0%

13-18FT20-26

72.0%FT%77.0%

26Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists10

7Turnovers13

12Steals5

1Blocks6

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	40	8-11	1-1	6-7	5	3	5	0	23
Hunter Sallis	Guard	40	8-16	0-3	4-8	8	3	0	0	20
Efton Reid III	Forward	37	8-9	2-2	1-1	4	1	1	1	19
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	38	2-8	0-1	2-2	1	6	4	0	6
Tre'Von Spillers	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Juke Harris	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Omaha Biliew	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	30	4-10	3-8	10-11	0	1	0	0	21
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	36	3-7	3-5	3-5	4	3	2	1	12
Andrej Stojakovic	G	36	4-13	1-6	1-2	6	3	1	2	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	30	3-4	0-0	3-4	10	0	1	2	9
Rytis Petraitis	F	33	2-10	1-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	7
Lee Dort	F	10	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	7
DeJuan Campbell	G	18	0-5	0-4	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Christian Tucker	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

118.8Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency118.8

15.6Net Efficiency-15.6

60.6%Effective FG%43.4%

62.8%True Shooting %50.5%

11.0%Turnover Rate20.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate49.1%

15.4%3-Point Rate52.8%

2.14Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.