Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Missouri State

84.6%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -549

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 71

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreBelmont 84

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricBelmont

51.1MMH Power Index61.8

110.5Offensive Efficiency118.6

108.4Defensive Efficiency103.7

2.1Net Efficiency14.9

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.2

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.9Tempo70.7

51.8%Effective FG%60.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.7%

1.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–108.4), net efficiency (14.9–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.2), ball security (16.4–17.8), offensive rebounding (33.0–28.8).

Final

Missouri State

68—85

Belmont

Belmont by 17 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATBelmont

29-51FG34-58

57.0%FG%59.0%

5-163PT16-27

31.0%3PT%59.0%

5-10FT1-2

50.0%FT%50.0%

29Rebounds19

9Offensive Rebounds4

15Assists30

20Turnovers12

9Steals11

3Blocks2

10Fouls8

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Hampton	G	30	9-9	0-0	2-6	5	0	2	0	20
Dez White	G	33	6-13	2-6	0-0	2	5	0	2	14
Vincent Brady II	G	35	4-8	2-5	3-4	3	6	1	0	13
Zaxton King	G	29	3-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	8	2	1	0	6
Wesley Oba	Forward	20	3-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	3	0	6
Chase Martin	Guard	22	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Logan Epes	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	38	9-15	9-15	0-0	3	1	0	0	27
Isaiah Walker	G	30	8-12	2-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	18
Brigham Rogers	F	31	6-8	0-0	1-2	3	3	6	2	13
Aidan Noyes	F	23	5-8	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Brody Peebles	Guard	17	4-7	3-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	11
Carter Whitt	Guard	30	1-5	1-2	0-0	2	15	2	0	3
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	27	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	8	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency127.1

127.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

-25.4Net Efficiency25.4

61.8%Effective FG%72.4%

61.0%True Shooting %72.1%

30.0%Turnover Rate17.9%

19.6%Free Throw Rate3.4%

31.4%3-Point Rate46.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Belmont won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.