Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Sacramento State

83.8%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -517

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreIdaho 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho

43MMH Power Index53.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.9Net Efficiency7.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

73.2Tempo69.7

48.5%Effective FG%52.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Sacramento State

76—78

Idaho

Idaho by 2 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho

30-54FG19-54

56.0%FG%35.0%

7-213PT8-30

33.0%3PT%27.0%

9-16FT32-41

56.0%FT%78.0%

36Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists9

18Turnovers9

5Steals11

1Blocks2

28Fouls17

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Vaughns	Guard	36	7-12	3-5	2-5	1	2	2	1	19
Chudi Dioramma	F	27	9-9	0-0	1-1	6	1	1	0	19
Lachlan Brewer	G	36	5-7	3-5	0-0	7	0	1	0	13
Emil Skytta	G	15	3-6	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	0	7
Bailey Nunn	G	24	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	3	0	0	6
EJ Neal Jr.	G	15	2-7	1-5	1-2	3	1	0	0	6
Jacob Holt	Forward	13	1-4	0-1	2-3	4	0	0	0	4
Leo Ricketts	Guard	17	1-4	0-3	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Michael Wilson	G	17	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Payne	G	34	3-7	1-3	14-15	6	1	2	0	21
Tyler Mrus	F	39	5-15	5-12	2-4	2	0	1	0	17
Tyler Linhardt	F	28	3-11	0-5	10-14	6	1	4	0	16
Kolton Mitchell	G	37	4-10	0-5	2-2	4	5	1	0	10
Kristian Gonzalez	G	29	2-6	2-5	2-2	1	2	1	0	8
Takai Hardy	Forward	12	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Julius Mims	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Isaiah Brickner	G	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	2	0	1
Titus Yearout	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jojo Anderson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency104.7

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

62.0%Effective FG%42.6%

61.7%True Shooting %53.1%

24.8%Turnover Rate12.4%

29.6%Free Throw Rate75.9%

38.9%3-Point Rate55.6%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Idaho won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.