Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Central Arkansas

64.5%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -182

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 77

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 82

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricAustin Peay

54MMH Power Index54.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.1

8.7Net Efficiency11.9

-3.9Strength of Schedule-5.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

71.0Tempo71.0

54.3%Effective FG%53.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

6.1Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–8.7).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-5.8), recent form (9.8–8.1), shooting efficiency (54.3–53.9).

Final

Central Arkansas

67—90

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 23 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATAustin Peay

20-45FG34-64

44.0%FG%53.0%

6-203PT17-42

30.0%3PT%40.0%

21-32FT5-8

66.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists25

15Turnovers5

3Steals9

1Blocks2

11Fouls26

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nehemiah Turner	F	29	6-11	0-1	11-14	6	4	0	1	23
Mike Evbagharu	G	29	4-7	1-2	0-1	8	0	0	0	9
Ben Fox	Guard	22	3-7	3-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Ethan Thomas	G	19	2-3	1-2	4-6	1	4	0	0	9
Cole McCormick	F	28	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	2	2	0	5
Diogo Seixas	Forward	25	1-5	0-1	3-7	7	0	0	0	5
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	6	1-1	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	0	5
Owen Derhmann	G	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Connor Mancell	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jabari West Jr.	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
J.D. Roberts	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tate McCubbin	G	31	10-20	6-16	1-2	4	3	4	0	27
Isaac Haney	Guard	27	7-14	6-13	0-0	2	3	0	0	20
LJ Thomas	G	33	4-10	1-3	1-3	6	11	0	0	10
Quan Lax	PG	18	3-4	0-1	1-1	1	3	0	0	7
Terrell Gaines	PG	4	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Anton Brookshire	PG	17	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	1	4
Daniel Loos	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	4
Tekao Carpenter	G	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Sai Witt	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
JaVar Daniel	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bowen Hammer	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darius Dawson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

100.0Offensive Efficiency134.3

134.3Defensive Efficiency100.0

-34.3Net Efficiency34.3

51.1%Effective FG%66.4%

55.6%True Shooting %66.4%

22.3%Turnover Rate7.5%

71.1%Free Throw Rate12.5%

44.4%3-Point Rate65.6%

0.80Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.