Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Western Kentucky

50.5%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -102

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 74

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 76

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricJacksonville State

55.6MMH Power Index51.2

110.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

71.7Tempo67.2

48.6%Effective FG%51.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate44.5%

3.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.2), offensive efficiency (110.6–108.2), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.3), recent form (5.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–106.2), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

Final

Western Kentucky

83—85

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 2 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATJacksonville State

29-56FG30-60

52.0%FG%50.0%

12-243PT9-25

50.0%3PT%36.0%

13-13FT16-19

100.0%FT%84.0%

27Rebounds31

3Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists15

11Turnovers9

8Steals7

1Blocks5

13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khristian Lander	Guard	34	9-13	6-9	6-6	4	1	2	0	30
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	36	8-13	3-7	3-3	7	2	1	0	22
Braxton Bayless	G	36	7-10	1-2	0-0	5	4	2	0	15
Don McHenry	G	29	4-14	2-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	10
Blaise Keita	F	19	0-1	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	4
Jalen Jackson	Guard	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	2
Leeroy Odiahi	F	21	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Jaylen Dorsey	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	37	9-18	3-8	7-8	4	4	0	1	28
Koree Cotton	G	34	4-11	2-6	3-4	6	2	3	0	13
Jao Ituka	G	19	4-8	2-5	3-4	1	2	1	0	13
Quel'Ron House	G	25	4-8	1-3	3-3	3	4	0	1	12
Michael Houge	F	27	4-8	1-3	0-0	9	1	0	0	9
Mason Nicholson	F	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	3	6
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

117.6Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency117.6

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

62.5%Effective FG%57.5%

66.7%True Shooting %61.6%

15.7%Turnover Rate12.7%

23.2%Free Throw Rate31.7%

42.9%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.