Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Indiana State

67.5%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -208

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 73

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreDrake 78

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricDrake

44.4MMH Power Index46.4

104.7Offensive Efficiency109.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

-1.3Net Efficiency0.4

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.3Tempo68.6

53.6%Effective FG%52.2%

19.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

28.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

-0.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.5–104.7), net efficiency (0.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.3–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–109.1), recent form (-5.2–-11.3), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Final

Indiana State

81—85

Drake

Drake by 4 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATDrake

28-55FG28-55

51.0%FG%51.0%

6-223PT8-20

27.0%3PT%40.0%

19-23FT21-30

83.0%FT%70.0%

26Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists20

11Turnovers14

5Steals5

2Blocks—

23Fouls23

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	41	9-13	1-3	7-9	3	4	1	0	26
Aaron Gray	Forward	36	5-9	0-3	7-8	12	1	2	0	17
Jaden Daughtry	F	31	7-11	0-2	1-2	2	2	0	1	15
K'mani Doughty	Guard	30	3-10	2-8	4-4	4	0	0	1	12
Camp Wagner	G	42	3-5	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Jayan Walker	G	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Markus Harding	C	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Bruno Alocen	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Josiah LeGree	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	45	7-17	2-5	4-4	4	7	0	20
Daniel Abreu	Forward	40	6-9	3-5	3-4	8	3	0	18
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	30	4-6	1-3	4-7	7	2	1	13
Tavion Banks	G	21	3-5	0-0	5-7	2	0	0	11
Mitch Mascari	Guard	45	1-5	1-5	4-4	0	5	1	7
Cam Manyawu	F	16	3-3	0-0	1-4	3	0	2	7
Kael Combs	G	12	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	4
Isaia Howard	G	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	3
Nate Ferguson	Forward	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

110.1Offensive Efficiency115.5

115.5Defensive Efficiency110.1

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

56.4%Effective FG%58.2%

61.4%True Shooting %61.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate54.5%

40.0%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Drake won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.