UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.9%UT Rio Grande Valley

31.1%Lamar

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Rio Grande Valley -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -222

Lamar

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 73

Projected Total142.3

Projected ScoreLamar 69

Team Comparison

UT Rio Grande ValleyMetricLamar

55.8MMH Power Index44.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency105.0

103.1Defensive Efficiency103.8

9.5Net Efficiency1.2

-1.9Strength of Schedule-3.0

12.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

67.4Tempo66.6

55.7%Effective FG%48.8%

17.9%Turnover Rate18.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

29.6%Free Throw Rate28.5%

6.4Average Margin0.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Rio Grande Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Rio Grande Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–44.1), offensive efficiency (112.6–105.0), defensive efficiency (103.1–103.8), net efficiency (9.5–1.2).

Lamar COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.5–29.2).

Final

UT Rio Grande Valley

68—70

Lamar

Lamar by 2 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT Rio Grande ValleyTEAM STATLamar

21-55FG27-64

38.0%FG%42.0%

16-373PT7-24

43.0%3PT%29.0%

10-15FT9-12

67.0%FT%75.0%

37Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds11

20Assists20

13Turnovers9

5Steals7

2Blocks2

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	33	5-11	4-7	5-6	8	5	1	0	19
K.T. Raimey	Guard	21	4-6	4-6	1-2	0	2	0	0	13
Cliff Davis	G	31	4-12	4-10	0-0	5	1	2	0	12
DK Thorn	Guard	29	4-13	2-7	0-0	7	1	1	1	10
Trey Miller	G	31	2-6	2-4	2-2	6	7	1	0	8
Kwo Agwa	F	22	1-4	0-1	1-1	3	2	0	0	3
Marshal Destremau	F	20	1-3	0-2	1-2	3	1	0	1	3
Jaylen Washington	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
RJ Nance	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alexis Marmolejos	G	34	5-13	3-10	6-8	2	2	2	0	19
Errol White	F	29	7-9	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	0	14
Andrew Holifield	F	31	5-10	1-5	2-2	7	2	2	0	13
Ja'Sean Jackson	Guard	30	5-11	1-4	1-2	2	4	1	0	12
Danquez Dawsey	Guard	19	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	4	0	0	6
Adam Hamilton	Center	27	2-10	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	1	4
Janko Bulajic	C	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	2
Jayden Barrs	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency104.6

104.6Defensive Efficiency101.6

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

52.7%Effective FG%47.7%

54.7%True Shooting %50.2%

19.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

27.3%Free Throw Rate18.8%

67.3%3-Point Rate37.5%

1.54Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Lamar won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.