Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Bellarmine

59.0%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -144

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 76

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreJacksonville 81

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricJacksonville

44.9MMH Power Index43.6

119.6Offensive Efficiency109.8

122.1Defensive Efficiency110.3

-2.5Net Efficiency-0.5

-2.8Strength of Schedule-4.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

66.9Tempo66.6

60.0%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-1.7Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–43.6), offensive efficiency (119.6–109.8), strength of schedule (-2.8–-4.8), recent form (0.3–-3.2).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–122.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-2.5), offensive rebounding (33.6–22.7).

Final

Bellarmine

64—73

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 9 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATJacksonville

22-48FG25-53

46.0%FG%47.0%

8-223PT8-23

36.0%3PT%35.0%

12-15FT15-20

80.0%FT%75.0%

23Rebounds30

4Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists19

12Turnovers10

6Steals7

1Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Doyle	G	33	7-12	1-4	2-2	5	5	3	0	17
Jack Karasinski	F	14	4-6	2-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	12
Grant Whitaker	G	23	4-7	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Billy Smith	G	34	3-12	2-7	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
AJ Lux	Guard	13	2-3	1-2	3-3	0	0	0	0	8
Kenyon Goodin	G	33	1-5	1-4	4-6	5	3	1	0	7
Myles Watkins	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Curt Hopf	Forward	24	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	1
Landin Hacker	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephon Payne	F	25	8-9	0-0	4-4	2	1	1	0	20
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	21	5-8	4-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	14
Chris Arias	G	30	3-9	2-6	4-4	3	2	1	0	12
Zach Bell	G	32	3-7	0-3	0-0	5	4	3	0	6
Jakari Spence	Guard	27	1-4	0-0	4-6	6	6	1	0	6
Kendall Munson	Forward	21	2-4	0-0	2-4	6	3	0	0	6
Kent Jackson	G	13	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Donovan Rivers	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Robert McCray V	G	18	0-4	0-2	1-2	2	3	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency100.3

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

54.2%Effective FG%54.7%

58.0%True Shooting %58.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

45.8%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.