East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.7%East Carolina

26.3%UTSA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -280

UTSA

5-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 78

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreUTSA 73

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricUTSA

44.3MMH Power Index30.5

102.0Offensive Efficiency99.0

110.5Defensive Efficiency115.0

-8.5Net Efficiency-16.0

2.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.6

70.1Tempo70.2

46.7%Effective FG%45.9%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

40.2%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-5.9Average Margin-11.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.0), net efficiency (-8.5–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–17.4).

Final

East Carolina

80—79

UTSA

East Carolina by 1 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATUTSA

24-51FG32-65

47.0%FG%49.0%

6-203PT8-22

30.0%3PT%36.0%

26-33FT7-10

79.0%FT%70.0%

32Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists15

9Turnovers8

6Steals7

5Blocks2

9Fouls21

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
C.J. Walker	Forward	33	9-15	0-2	10-12	10	1	1	2	28
Jordan Riley	G	37	4-8	0-1	13-16	6	3	1	0	21
RJ Felton	Guard	26	5-12	4-7	1-3	4	1	0	0	15
Cam Hayes	Guard	33	4-7	2-4	0-0	2	8	0	0	10
Jayshayne Woodard	G	25	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	2	2	0	4
Trevion LaBeaux	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Yann Farell	F	25	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
Reid Cason	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Millender	G	31	8-13	2-5	3-3	3	3	0	0	21
Raekwon Horton	Forward	39	7-16	1-5	0-1	5	4	1	0	15
Primo Spears	Guard	37	4-14	1-3	4-6	1	4	1	1	13
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	17	5-7	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	10
Damari Monsanto	Guard	30	3-5	3-5	0-0	3	1	2	0	9
Baboucarr Njie	F	24	3-5	0-1	0-0	6	3	1	0	6
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	12	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
David Hermes	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

119.8Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency119.8

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

52.9%Effective FG%55.4%

60.0%True Shooting %56.6%

13.5%Turnover Rate12.0%

64.7%Free Throw Rate15.4%

39.2%3-Point Rate33.8%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.