Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.8%Montana

39.2%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -155

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 77

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 75

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricNorthern Arizona

45.4MMH Power Index36.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

104.8Defensive Efficiency114.8

3.8Net Efficiency-7.7

-2.4Strength of Schedule-1.8

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

71.2Tempo66.6

56.3%Effective FG%53.5%

19.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

37.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

2.7Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–36.9), offensive efficiency (108.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–114.8), net efficiency (3.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-2.4), ball security (15.8–19.2), offensive rebounding (24.0–21.9).

Final

Montana

83—80

Northern Arizona

Montana by 3 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

30-49FG29-58

61.0%FG%50.0%

10-203PT10-25

50.0%3PT%40.0%

13-18FT12-16

72.0%FT%75.0%

19Rebounds33

2Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists18

7Turnovers11

7Steals4

1Blocks—

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kai Johnson	Guard	33	7-12	2-4	6-8	5	7	3	0	22
Money Williams	G	25	5-10	3-6	2-3	4	3	0	0	15
Malik Messina-Moore	G	31	5-8	2-3	2-3	3	0	0	0	14
Austin Patterson	Guard	23	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	1	2	0	8
Joe Pridgen	Guard	22	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	1	8
Brandon Whitney	Guard	29	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	4	2	0	4
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Amari Jedkins	F	3	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Zack Davidson	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	38	6-16	2-7	5-6	4	5	1	19
Jayden Jackson	G	33	5-10	2-4	4-4	2	2	0	16
Carson Towt	F	38	7-10	0-0	1-2	13	8	0	15
Monty Bowser	G	24	3-7	2-4	2-3	1	1	0	10
Diego Campisano	F	28	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	8
Dillan Baker	G	21	3-6	2-5	0-1	2	0	1	8
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	4
Ryan Abelman	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

132.6Offensive Efficiency127.8

127.8Defensive Efficiency132.6

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

71.4%Effective FG%58.6%

72.1%True Shooting %61.0%

11.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

36.7%Free Throw Rate27.6%

40.8%3-Point Rate43.1%

2.29Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Montana won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.