Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Montana State

62.7%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -168

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricNorthern Colorado

53.6MMH Power Index53.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

9.5Net Efficiency8.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-4.3

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

68.1Tempo71.1

55.1%Effective FG%56.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate27.8%

6.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–8.4), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.3), ball security (14.7–15.3).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.4), recent form (10.8–4.9).

Final

Montana State

66—73

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 7 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

23-56FG23-57

41.0%FG%40.0%

6-163PT6-16

38.0%3PT%38.0%

14-17FT21-31

82.0%FT%68.0%

36Rebounds43

5Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists15

8Turnovers6

4Steals6

2Blocks—

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabe Mullins	Guard	30	8-12	3-6	5-5	4	1	0	0	24
Brandon Walker	F	24	5-12	1-1	4-6	7	1	0	0	15
Bryce Zephir	G	29	4-11	1-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	11
Patrick McMahon	G	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	22	2-7	1-1	1-2	5	1	1	1	6
Chika Nduka	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Tyler Patterson	Guard	23	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Sam Lecholat	Forward	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Brian Goracke	Forward	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jed Miller	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grayson Gaddis	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	29	6-8	3-4	2-3	2	0	2	17
Marcell McCreary	G	27	4-7	1-2	6-8	6	0	0	15
Langston Reynolds	G	34	5-16	0-2	4-6	6	3	1	14
Jaron Rillie	Guard	32	4-13	1-4	3-4	10	8	2	12
Brock Wisne	F	32	3-7	0-1	4-6	11	3	0	10
Zach Bloch	G	26	1-3	1-3	1-2	1	1	0	4
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	13	0-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1
Taeshaud Jackson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Egan Shields	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency100.2

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

46.4%Effective FG%45.6%

51.5%True Shooting %50.9%

11.9%Turnover Rate9.3%

30.4%Free Throw Rate54.4%

28.6%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.88Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.