Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Grand Canyon

58.5%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL142.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -141

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 70

Projected Total142.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 73

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricCalifornia Baptist

59.8MMH Power Index58.3

109.2Offensive Efficiency106.5

99.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

10.1Net Efficiency7.5

2.0Strength of Schedule1.8

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.3Tempo68.2

52.1%Effective FG%48.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

41.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

7.0Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–58.3), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.5), net efficiency (10.1–7.5), strength of schedule (2.0–1.8).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–99.1), recent form (11.0–9.7), offensive rebounding (37.0–31.2).

Final

Grand Canyon

71—85

California Baptist

California Baptist by 14 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

26-62FG29-65

42.0%FG%45.0%

7-243PT4-15

29.0%3PT%27.0%

12-23FT23-28

52.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds40

17Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists8

22Turnovers14

7Steals12

5Blocks5

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	29	5-11	1-4	4-9	6	2	2	1	15
JaKobe Coles	Forward	21	4-6	1-3	2-4	5	2	2	0	11
Ray Harrison	Guard	32	4-14	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Lok Wur	Forward	25	4-8	1-4	1-2	4	2	0	1	10
Makaih Williams	G	22	2-8	1-3	2-4	2	4	0	0	7
Caleb Shaw	G	15	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	7
Duke Brennan	F	31	3-4	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	0	6
Collin Moore	Guard	23	1-6	0-3	3-4	3	1	1	3	5
Styles Phipps	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylen Riley	G	31	5-9	2-4	13-16	4	1	2	1	25
Kendal Coleman	Forward	21	7-14	0-1	5-5	5	1	0	1	19
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	31	6-17	0-3	1-2	6	1	4	1	13
AJ Braun	Forward	23	5-9	1-1	2-3	6	2	1	0	13
Martel Williams	G	19	4-7	1-2	2-2	4	0	2	1	11
Bradey Henige	F	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Sam Silverstein	G	29	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	2	3	0	0
Javonte Johnson	Guard	26	0-3	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	0
Adam Moussa	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

91.5Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency91.5

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

47.6%Effective FG%47.7%

48.7%True Shooting %54.3%

28.2%Turnover Rate18.1%

37.1%Free Throw Rate43.1%

38.7%3-Point Rate23.1%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.