Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Idaho State

72.9%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -269

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreWeber State 83

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricWeber State

45.9MMH Power Index50.2

111.0Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

-2.4Net Efficiency5.4

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.4

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.1Tempo71.5

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.5%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-1.6Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), offensive efficiency (113.6–111.0), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.4), net efficiency (5.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.4), offensive rebounding (33.9–32.6), free throw rate (39.1–38.3).

Final

Idaho State

72—67

Weber State

Idaho State by 5 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATWeber State

26-60FG27-51

43.0%FG%53.0%

5-223PT7-12

23.0%3PT%58.0%

15-18FT6-11

83.0%FT%55.0%

35Rebounds27

13Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists10

9Turnovers15

9Steals5

2Blocks2

12Fouls17

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	37	9-16	3-9	9-10	4	3	4	0	30
Jake O'Neil	Guard	38	6-10	0-2	2-2	7	3	1	0	14
Connor Hollenbeck	F	30	3-6	2-3	2-2	7	1	0	0	10
Evan Otten	F	27	2-7	0-0	2-2	6	0	1	2	6
Jackson Greene	Forward	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Isaiah Griffin	F	31	2-10	0-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Blake Daberkow	F	7	1-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
AJ Burgin	Guard	13	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevor Hennig	G	35	8-11	4-4	1-2	6	1	1	0	21
Blaise Threatt	Guard	39	8-18	2-4	2-5	5	5	1	0	20
Alex Tew	Center	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	1	6
Saadiq Moore	Guard	22	2-5	0-2	2-2	4	2	0	0	6
Viljami Vartiainen	G	20	2-3	1-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	6
Declan Cutler	F	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Nigel Burris	F	28	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Nemanja Sarenac	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	1	0	0
Marko Sarenac	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.3

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

47.5%Effective FG%59.8%

52.5%True Shooting %59.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate22.3%

30.0%Free Throw Rate21.6%

36.7%3-Point Rate23.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.