UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%UC Davis

65.0%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -186

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Fullerton

48.4MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.5Net Efficiency1.7

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

72.4Tempo76.3

52.3%Effective FG%52.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

2.5Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.9), recent form (2.7–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.5–1.7), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.5).

Final

UC Davis

65—49

Cal State Fullerton

UC Davis by 16 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

26-61FG14-47

43.0%FG%30.0%

7-193PT3-17

37.0%3PT%18.0%

6-13FT18-20

46.0%FT%90.0%

32Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists8

10Turnovers22

12Steals2

5Blocks4

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	35	8-20	3-8	1-4	4	3	1	0	20
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	31	3-5	2-3	3-3	6	10	6	0	11
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	24	4-9	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	10
Nils Cooper	G	23	3-7	0-0	1-1	5	1	1	0	7
Niko Rocak	F	24	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	4	6
Pablo Tamba	F	16	3-7	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	1	6
Connor Sevilla	G	26	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Chappell	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jac Mani	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Derek Sangster	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jamaal Unuakhalu	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zachary Visentin	Center	16	6-9	0-0	5-5	3	0	0	3	17
Kaleb Brown	G	30	0-4	0-4	6-6	9	3	1	0	6
Kobe Young	Guard	29	2-6	0-1	2-4	8	0	1	0	6
Antwan Robinson	Guard	26	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Keith Richard	Guard	24	1-8	1-5	2-2	6	2	0	0	5
Kendrick De Luna	F	31	2-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Donovan Oday	G	12	1-4	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	32	0-4	0-3	2-2	6	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

95.7Offensive Efficiency72.2

72.2Defensive Efficiency95.7

23.6Net Efficiency-23.6

48.4%Effective FG%33.0%

48.4%True Shooting %43.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate32.6%

21.3%Free Throw Rate42.6%

31.1%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.