San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%San Diego State

49.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -102

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricColorado State

60.1MMH Power Index55.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency117.1

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.9

11.0Net Efficiency7.2

3.8Strength of Schedule0.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.8Tempo64.7

53.2%Effective FG%58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

7.8Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

63—68

Colorado State

Colorado State by 5 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATColorado State

22-58FG22-53

38.0%FG%42.0%

8-233PT7-19

35.0%3PT%37.0%

11-21FT17-24

52.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds44

15Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists10

8Turnovers12

7Steals7

5Blocks4

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Magoon Gwath	F	32	7-10	0-1	1-3	10	1	0	2	15
BJ Davis	G	13	3-10	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Nick Boyd	G	32	2-8	0-3	4-5	5	8	3	0	8
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	18	2-5	2-2	2-2	3	0	0	1	8
Miles Byrd	G	27	2-11	1-8	2-4	3	2	1	1	7
Taj DeGourville	G	24	3-6	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	7
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	21	2-5	1-2	2-3	1	0	1	1	7
Pharaoh Compton	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	2
Miles Heide	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	8-15	4-7	1-4	13	2	3	0	21
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	24	4-11	1-4	1-2	4	0	0	0	10
Kyan Evans	G	26	2-3	2-3	3-4	6	0	0	1	9
Jalen Lake	Guard	31	1-6	0-2	5-6	3	2	1	2	7
Ethan Morton	Guard	23	2-3	0-0	3-3	3	2	1	0	7
Kyle Jorgensen	F	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	1	4
Bowen Born	Guard	14	1-4	0-2	1-1	0	1	1	0	3
Keshawn Williams	G	7	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

104.7Offensive Efficiency113.0

113.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

44.8%Effective FG%48.1%

46.3%True Shooting %52.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate20.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

39.7%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.