Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Northwestern

66.8%Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWashington -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWashington -201

Washington

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 72

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreWashington 78

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricWashington

55.4MMH Power Index57.1

111.6Offensive Efficiency112.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

1.8Net Efficiency5.1

5.6Strength of Schedule4.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

65.6Tempo68.7

51.9%Effective FG%51.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

1.2Average Margin3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Washington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWashington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–55.4), offensive efficiency (112.2–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.8), net efficiency (5.1–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.2), shooting efficiency (51.9–51.4), ball security (13.0–15.3).

Final

Northwestern

71—76

Washington

Washington by 5 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATWashington

26-54FG28-53

48.0%FG%53.0%

8-243PT8-22

33.0%3PT%36.0%

11-11FT12-16

100.0%FT%75.0%

22Rebounds34

3Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists8

7Turnovers16

9Steals3

2Blocks1

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	38	9-19	2-5	3-3	10	3	1	0	23
Ty Berry	Guard	34	6-12	2-7	0-0	3	0	2	0	14
Justin Mullins	G	33	4-6	3-5	2-2	2	2	1	0	13
Matthew Nicholson	Center	29	3-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	1	8
Jordan Clayton	G	26	2-7	1-5	2-2	1	5	1	0	7
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Angelo Ciaravino	G	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
K.J. Windham	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Luke Hunger	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Harris	F	29	7-10	4-6	0-1	5	0	1	0	18
Great Osobor	Forward	36	7-15	0-3	2-2	9	0	1	0	16
DJ Davis	Guard	27	3-8	3-7	6-6	1	1	0	0	15
Zoom Diallo	G	23	5-6	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	10
Mekhi Mason	G	35	3-6	1-3	1-2	5	3	0	0	8
Tyree Ihenacho	Guard	23	2-5	0-2	1-2	6	3	1	0	5
Franck Kepnang	C	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

109.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency109.4

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

55.6%Effective FG%60.4%

59.9%True Shooting %62.7%

11.1%Turnover Rate24.0%

20.4%Free Throw Rate30.2%

44.4%3-Point Rate41.5%

1.71Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Washington won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.