Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Xavier

83.4%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -502

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 72

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 84

Team Comparison

XavierMetricVillanova

49.5MMH Power Index59.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency114.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

-3.2Net Efficiency8.8

5.6Strength of Schedule4.4

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

71.7Tempo67.3

51.7%Effective FG%53.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-2.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–112.4), net efficiency (8.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.4), ball security (13.9–15.0).

Final

Xavier

68—80

Villanova

Villanova by 12 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATVillanova

26-53FG29-57

49.0%FG%51.0%

8-193PT12-24

42.0%3PT%50.0%

8-12FT10-10

67.0%FT%100.0%

30Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists16

14Turnovers8

8Steals6

1Blocks—

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	31	7-10	4-6	6-6	5	3	0	1	24
Zach Freemantle	Forward	33	8-16	2-4	0-1	5	1	1	0	18
Marcus Foster	Guard	31	4-9	1-5	1-1	6	1	2	0	10
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	34	4-9	0-2	1-2	1	2	1	0	9
Dailyn Swain	G	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Ryan Conwell	G	36	1-5	1-2	0-2	3	5	4	0	3
Jerome Hunter	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
John Hugley IV	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam'Ron Fletcher	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	34	8-16	2-7	6-6	5	3	0	24
Wooga Poplar	Guard	37	8-17	5-9	2-2	8	2	4	23
Tyler Perkins	G	26	7-9	4-5	2-2	5	0	2	20
Enoch Boakye	Forward	26	4-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	8
Jordan Longino	Guard	34	2-5	1-1	0-0	0	4	0	5
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	30	0-6	0-2	0-0	0	7	0	0
Jordann Dumont	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Josiah Moseley	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

105.8Offensive Efficiency124.4

124.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

-18.7Net Efficiency18.7

56.6%Effective FG%61.4%

57.9%True Shooting %64.8%

21.6%Turnover Rate12.5%

22.6%Free Throw Rate17.5%

35.8%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.