Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Northwestern State

68.3%Nicholls

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNicholls -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINENicholls -215

Nicholls

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 68

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreNicholls 73

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricNicholls

41.3MMH Power Index43.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-5.0Net Efficiency-3.7

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.4

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

63.6Tempo68.7

49.5%Effective FG%51.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-3.2Average Margin-2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nicholls HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNicholls holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.0), net efficiency (-3.7–-5.0), strength of schedule (-0.4–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–35.3).

Final

Northwestern State

72—60

Nicholls

Northwestern State by 12 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATNicholls

20-46FG20-64

43.0%FG%31.0%

8-173PT8-25

47.0%3PT%32.0%

24-30FT12-16

80.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists9

16Turnovers10

8Steals6

4Blocks3

16Fouls25

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Love Bettis	G	24	5-8	0-1	6-7	0	2	1	0	16
Micah Thomas	G	31	4-11	4-7	2-2	0	2	0	0	14
Addison Patterson	F	27	1-6	0-1	11-12	5	1	2	0	13
Willie Williams	F	29	3-4	0-0	3-6	10	2	2	3	9
Landyn Jumawan	G	27	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	0	2	0	9
Jon Sanders II	G	13	2-6	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Justin Redmond	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
JT Warren	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	2
Jerald Colonel	F	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	1	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Gray Jr.	G	32	5-17	4-11	5-6	0	2	0	0	19
Sincere Malone	F	31	5-9	0-0	3-4	7	1	3	0	13
Jamal West Jr.	F	29	4-6	0-1	4-4	6	2	1	1	12
Byron Ireland	Guard	25	3-8	2-2	0-0	6	2	1	0	8
Rob Brown III	G	28	2-10	2-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Mekhi Collins	Not Available	13	1-2	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	1	2
Jaylen Searles	G	21	0-8	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Trae English	G	21	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

107.6Offensive Efficiency89.7

89.7Defensive Efficiency107.6

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

52.2%Effective FG%37.5%

59.8%True Shooting %41.9%

23.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

65.2%Free Throw Rate25.0%

37.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.