New Orleans

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%New Orleans

55.7%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -126

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 75

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 78

Team Comparison

New OrleansMetricIncarnate Word

47.1MMH Power Index44.6

107.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

109.6Defensive Efficiency111.2

-2.6Net Efficiency0.8

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

70.8Tempo66.3

50.5%Effective FG%52.2%

20.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.7%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

48.4%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-1.8Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Orleans HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Orleans holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–44.6), defensive efficiency (109.6–111.2), strength of schedule (0.2–-3.6), recent form (0.4–-8.5).

Incarnate Word COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.0–107.0), net efficiency (0.8–-2.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.5).

Final

New Orleans

65—75

Incarnate Word

Incarnate Word by 10 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New OrleansTEAM STATIncarnate Word

26-51FG26-59

51.0%FG%44.0%

1-63PT11-23

17.0%3PT%48.0%

12-18FT12-19

67.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds13

5Assists13

13Turnovers7

3Steals8

5Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Thomas	F	38	12-20	0-0	8-14	11	1	0	2	32
Kohen Rowbatham	G	40	6-11	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	14
Leland Coleman	F	39	4-9	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	3	8
Theo Grant	Guard	30	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
JR Jacobs	Guard	32	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Luke Davis	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Grant Kemp	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	38	8-17	6-10	3-4	2	0	2	0	25
Dylan Hayman	Forward	37	8-16	1-2	5-6	5	3	0	0	22
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	12	2-2	1-1	1-2	1	1	2	0	6
Amani Drummond	G	11	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	13	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	3	1	0	5
Jordan Pyke	F	17	2-7	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	19	1-7	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Jayden Williams	C	11	1-1	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	0	3
Marcus Glover	F	26	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	2	1
Lamin Sabally	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Harrison Reede	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

104.3Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency104.3

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

52.0%Effective FG%53.4%

54.6%True Shooting %55.1%

20.8%Turnover Rate11.3%

35.3%Free Throw Rate32.2%

11.8%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Incarnate Word won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.