Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Ohio

77.8%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -350

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 73

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreBowling Green 84

Team Comparison

OhioMetricBowling Green

48MMH Power Index54.7

109.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

110.7Defensive Efficiency99.1

-1.0Net Efficiency13.5

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.7

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

71.0Tempo72.2

52.0%Effective FG%53.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

37.8%Free Throw Rate38.7%

-0.7Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–48.0), offensive efficiency (112.6–109.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–110.7), net efficiency (13.5–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.7), ball security (15.3–15.9).

Final

Ohio

86—81

Bowling Green

Ohio by 5 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATBowling Green

24-51FG28-61

47.0%FG%46.0%

8-243PT9-23

33.0%3PT%39.0%

30-34FT16-25

88.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds35

3Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists14

12Turnovers13

6Steals7

1Blocks1

22Fouls28

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	34	4-5	3-4	6-6	3	4	2	0	17
AJ Brown	G	29	4-8	1-5	7-8	5	1	2	0	16
AJ Clayton	Forward	25	4-13	0-7	7-8	3	0	0	1	15
Jackson Paveletzke	G	34	4-8	0-1	6-7	5	4	0	0	14
Elmore James IV	G	23	3-5	3-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Vic Searls	Forward	16	4-7	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Elijah Elliott	G	20	1-3	0-1	4-5	5	1	0	0	6
Ajay Sheldon	G	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Johnson	F	35	7-18	3-10	4-4	4	5	1	0	21
Derrick Butler	Guard	33	7-15	2-4	2-3	2	0	1	0	18
Javontae Campbell	G	23	5-10	1-2	2-4	3	2	2	0	13
DaJion Humphrey	G	27	4-6	2-3	1-2	4	0	2	0	11
Jamai Felt	F	24	3-3	0-0	4-6	10	0	0	0	10
Trey Thomas	Guard	25	2-5	1-2	2-4	1	3	0	0	7
Braelon Green	G	20	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	3	0	0	1
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6

112.3Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency112.3

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

54.9%Effective FG%53.3%

64.0%True Shooting %55.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.9%

66.7%Free Throw Rate41.0%

47.1%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Ohio won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.