Eastern Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Eastern Michigan

56.8%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL140.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -131

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 69

Projected Total140.3

Projected ScoreBall State 72

Team Comparison

Eastern MichiganMetricBall State

43.4MMH Power Index41.3

102.4Offensive Efficiency101.7

106.6Defensive Efficiency104.7

-4.2Net Efficiency-3.0

1.4Strength of Schedule-3.9

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

69.0Tempo66.4

49.9%Effective FG%48.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

30.3%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-2.8Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.7–106.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-4.2), recent form (-0.9–-8.5), ball security (16.0–17.3).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (43.4–41.3), offensive efficiency (102.4–101.7), strength of schedule (1.4–-3.9).

Final

Eastern Michigan

84—86

Ball State

Ball State by 2 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern MichiganTEAM STATBall State

33-59FG27-52

56.0%FG%52.0%

5-173PT7-20

29.0%3PT%35.0%

13-17FT25-28

76.0%FT%89.0%

25Rebounds24

8Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists14

12Turnovers15

9Steals6

4Blocks2

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Terry	Guard	44	10-18	4-10	1-2	5	5	3	0	25
Christian Henry	G	44	8-17	0-3	2-3	2	2	3	0	18
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	34	5-8	0-0	7-8	6	8	0	1	17
Arne Osojnik	G	26	2-5	1-2	2-2	5	0	1	1	7
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	25	3-5	0-1	1-2	3	2	1	0	7
John Shanu II	C	18	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	2	4
Dillon Tingler	G	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Godslove Nwabude	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fatt Hill	G	39	8-15	1-4	4-4	8	7	0	0	21
Payton Sparks	Center	35	5-7	0-1	9-11	3	1	1	1	19
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	31	5-9	1-3	7-8	1	2	2	0	18
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	36	3-8	2-5	4-4	2	0	1	0	12
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	38	3-7	1-4	1-1	0	2	0	0	8
Juanse Gorosito	G	24	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
Mason Jones	F	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Ben Hendriks	Center	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Joey Hart	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

116.3Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency116.3

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

60.2%Effective FG%58.7%

62.6%True Shooting %65.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate20.5%

28.8%Free Throw Rate53.8%

28.8%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Ball State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.