Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.5%Buffalo

14.5%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -590

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 81

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 72

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricNorthern Illinois

49.7MMH Power Index29.2

114.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

112.2Defensive Efficiency111.6

2.7Net Efficiency-11.9

0.0Strength of Schedule-2.1

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

67.9Tempo69.7

56.1%Effective FG%48.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate21.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

40.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (114.9–99.7), net efficiency (2.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (0.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–112.2), offensive rebounding (31.7–27.6).

Final

Buffalo

73—67

Northern Illinois

Buffalo by 6 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

24-54FG26-60

44.0%FG%43.0%

9-193PT4-22

47.0%3PT%18.0%

16-20FT11-11

80.0%FT%100.0%

33Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists6

13Turnovers11

5Steals7

2Blocks5

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Dunn	G	34	6-11	4-7	6-6	8	4	0	0	22
Noah Batchelor	G	37	4-8	3-5	5-5	9	3	2	0	16
Ryan Sabol	G	36	4-10	1-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Tim Oboh	C	21	5-7	0-0	1-3	4	0	1	1	11
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	32	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	6
Ben Michaels	F	19	2-5	0-0	0-2	5	1	0	1	4
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	5	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Bryson Wilson	G	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kavon Bradford	G	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	39	7-15	2-5	2-2	7	3	2	1	18
Quaran McPherson	G	37	7-14	1-6	2-2	7	0	3	1	17
Ethan Butler	F	30	5-7	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	2	12
James Dent Jr.	G	39	4-13	0-6	3-3	6	2	0	0	11
Nas Muhammad	G	33	2-8	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Jayden Mott	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tsvet Sotirov	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Kailon Nicholls	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

106.0Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency106.0

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

52.8%Effective FG%46.7%

57.5%True Shooting %51.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate18.3%

35.2%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.