Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Indiana State

91.4%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -1063

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 62

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricNorthern Iowa

44.4MMH Power Index61

104.7Offensive Efficiency108.4

106.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

-1.3Net Efficiency12.0

0.1Strength of Schedule2.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

70.3Tempo64.1

53.6%Effective FG%54.6%

19.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

28.8%Free Throw Rate26.2%

-0.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–104.7), defensive efficiency (96.4–106.0), net efficiency (12.0–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.3–21.9), free throw rate (28.8–26.2).

Final

Indiana State

73—88

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 15 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

22-56FG32-55

39.0%FG%58.0%

9-253PT13-21

36.0%3PT%62.0%

20-25FT11-18

80.0%FT%61.0%

31Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists19

8Turnovers7

6Steals4

3Blocks4

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	36	7-13	2-6	5-5	2	6	0	0	21
Aaron Gray	Forward	21	3-7	1-3	3-3	5	0	0	0	10
Jaden Daughtry	F	20	4-8	1-2	1-3	3	0	4	2	10
K'mani Doughty	Guard	28	2-9	2-4	3-4	8	1	0	0	9
Camp Wagner	G	33	1-6	1-5	3-4	3	0	1	0	6
Derek Vorst	C	12	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	2	0	1	6
Josiah LeGree	G	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Markus Harding	C	13	0-4	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Jahni Summers	G	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jayan Walker	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Merritt Alderink	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Bean	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tytan Anderson	Guard	34	8-9	0-0	6-10	5	2	0	2	22
Trey Campbell	G	29	6-12	4-7	2-2	6	2	2	1	18
Max Weisbrod	G	35	5-10	3-6	0-0	1	4	0	0	13
Jacob Hutson	Center	28	5-9	0-1	3-6	7	5	0	1	13
Ben Schwieger	F	28	3-5	3-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	9
Kyle Pock	F	11	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Will Hornseth	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Cael Schmitt	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Redek Born	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Wes Rubin	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Courbat	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hunter Jacobson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Charlie Miller	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

108.5Offensive Efficiency130.8

130.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

47.3%Effective FG%70.0%

53.8%True Shooting %69.2%

11.8%Turnover Rate10.5%

44.6%Free Throw Rate32.7%

44.6%3-Point Rate38.2%

1.38Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.