UIC

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%UIC

54.1%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -118

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUIC 78

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreMurray State 80

Team Comparison

UICMetricMurray State

56.7MMH Power Index53.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

103.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.2Net Efficiency4.0

0.1Strength of Schedule3.5

9.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.3Tempo72.3

50.9%Effective FG%54.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

37.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UIC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUIC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.7–53.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–4.0), recent form (9.2–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.9).

Final

UIC

53—63

Murray State

Murray State by 10 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UICTEAM STATMurray State

16-50FG21-60

32.0%FG%35.0%

3-143PT5-21

21.0%3PT%24.0%

18-25FT16-22

72.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds46

11Offensive Rebounds20

6Assists8

9Turnovers10

7Steals4

2Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	19	5-5	0-0	2-2	10	2	0	1	12
Jordan Mason	G	35	5-13	0-0	1-1	3	3	1	0	11
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	31	2-5	1-3	3-3	1	1	0	0	8
Tyem Freeman	Guard	28	1-3	1-3	4-6	3	0	2	1	7
Ahmad Henderson II	G	21	0-8	0-4	7-8	1	0	0	0	7
Javon Jackson	G	24	1-7	1-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	4
Saša Ciani	F	16	2-5	0-0	0-1	5	0	1	0	4
Ethan Pickett	G	14	0-3	0-1	0-2	3	0	2	0	0
Joshua Aaron Reaves	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Koby Jeffries	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	40	4-16	2-9	3-4	3	6	0	0	13
Kylen Milton	Guard	34	2-8	1-4	8-10	3	2	1	0	13
Nick Ellington	F	28	6-10	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	12
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	12	4-6	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	8
AJ Ferguson	Guard	40	2-8	0-2	2-2	12	0	1	0	6
Alden Applewhite	F	32	1-7	1-3	3-6	7	0	1	0	6
Justin Morgan	Guard	14	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

88.0Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency88.0

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

35.0%Effective FG%39.2%

42.8%True Shooting %44.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

50.0%Free Throw Rate36.7%

28.0%3-Point Rate35.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Murray State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.