Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Penn State

76.5%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -326

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 74

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScoreUSC 84

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricUSC

42.3MMH Power Index48.3

109.2Offensive Efficiency108.5

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.6

-8.4Net Efficiency0.9

5.3Strength of Schedule2.5

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

67.5Tempo72.4

53.4%Effective FG%50.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-5.7Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–42.3), defensive efficiency (107.6–117.6), net efficiency (0.9–-8.4), recent form (-16.0–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–108.5), strength of schedule (5.3–2.5), shooting efficiency (53.4–50.7).

Final

Penn State

67—92

USC

USC by 25 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATUSC

21-49FG33-49

43.0%FG%67.0%

7-263PT12-16

27.0%3PT%75.0%

18-28FT14-17

64.0%FT%82.0%

22Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds4

10Assists23

15Turnovers15

7Steals7

2Blocks3

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	35	3-8	1-4	8-9	3	4	3	0	15
Dominick Stewart	G	18	5-9	2-5	1-2	0	0	1	0	13
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	4-12	2-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	25	3-8	1-5	3-4	5	2	1	0	10
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	32	3-4	0-0	1-3	3	3	0	1	7
Jahvin Carter	G	8	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Freddie Dilione V	G	18	0-3	0-1	3-5	2	0	0	0	3
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	2	1	3
Kachi Nzeh	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Miles Goodman	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	25	7-9	7-9	0-0	2	0	1	0	21
Desmond Claude	G	36	5-6	1-2	5-7	3	8	1	0	16
Wesley Yates III	G	36	5-8	2-2	1-2	5	4	2	0	13
Josh Cohen	Forward	21	5-8	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	12
Saint Thomas	Forward	28	4-7	1-1	0-0	4	4	1	0	9
Jalen Shelley	F	14	3-4	1-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	9
Rashaun Agee	F	11	3-5	0-1	2-2	4	2	0	1	8
Matt Knowling	Forward	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	1	2
Clark Slajchert	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Isaiah Elohim	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

97.5Offensive Efficiency133.9

133.9Defensive Efficiency97.5

-36.4Net Efficiency36.4

50.0%Effective FG%79.6%

53.8%True Shooting %80.6%

21.6%Turnover Rate22.0%

57.1%Free Throw Rate34.7%

53.1%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

USC won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.