Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Colorado State

84.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -525

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricUtah State

55.4MMH Power Index65.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency119.7

109.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

7.2Net Efficiency16.6

0.4Strength of Schedule3.5

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

64.7Tempo68.6

58.6%Effective FG%56.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.6Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–117.1), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.9), net efficiency (16.6–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.3–0.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9), free throw rate (41.2–39.1).

Final

Colorado State

85—93

Utah State

Utah State by 8 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATUtah State

25-55FG32-54

45.0%FG%59.0%

13-333PT12-23

39.0%3PT%52.0%

22-27FT17-30

81.0%FT%57.0%

31Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists20

11Turnovers6

5Steals8

2Blocks2

22Fouls23

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	40	6-15	3-7	9-9	16	3	0	1	24
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	28	6-9	2-4	3-5	2	2	1	1	17
Kyan Evans	G	31	4-7	3-6	3-4	4	3	2	0	14
Jalen Lake	Guard	24	2-8	2-7	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Bowen Born	Guard	18	1-5	1-5	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Rashaan Mbemba	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	5
Kyle Jorgensen	F	8	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	30	1-2	0-0	2-3	3	6	2	0	4
Keshawn Williams	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	36	8-14	4-6	2-3	5	5	1	0	22
Aubin Gateretse	Center	25	7-7	0-0	2-4	6	4	0	0	16
Ian Martinez	Guard	19	4-8	4-7	2-2	3	2	0	0	14
Dexter Akanno	Guard	34	4-6	3-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	11
Deyton Albury	G	16	3-3	1-1	3-8	4	1	2	1	10
Drake Allen	G	30	2-6	0-2	5-9	3	6	1	0	9
Karson Templin	F	11	3-6	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	0	9
Isaac Johnson	C	3	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tucker Anderson	F	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
Jordy Barnes	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

124.8Offensive Efficiency136.6

136.6Defensive Efficiency124.8

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

57.3%Effective FG%70.4%

62.7%True Shooting %68.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate9.1%

49.1%Free Throw Rate55.6%

60.0%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.64Assist / Turnover3.33

Game Summary

Utah State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.