East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%East Tennessee State

50.5%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -102

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 77

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 77

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricWestern Carolina

57.4MMH Power Index53

115.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

102.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

12.3Net Efficiency1.6

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.9

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

67.4Tempo69.7

55.4%Effective FG%51.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

35.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

8.3Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.8–111.0), net efficiency (12.3–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-1.6), recent form (13.1–3.7), offensive rebounding (36.1–28.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

67—76

Western Carolina

Western Carolina by 9 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATWestern Carolina

24-71FG26-58

34.0%FG%45.0%

6-273PT7-22

22.0%3PT%32.0%

13-16FT17-22

81.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds45

16Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists16

5Turnovers12

8Steals—

2Blocks6

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quimari Peterson	G	39	8-23	2-7	3-4	3	3	3	2	21
John Buggs III	Guard	37	4-11	2-4	3-3	2	0	0	0	13
Gabe Sisk	G	15	5-10	0-4	2-4	5	0	1	0	12
Karon Boyd	F	37	3-11	1-4	3-3	11	5	0	0	10
Maki Johnson	G	29	1-10	1-8	2-2	2	1	2	0	5
DJ Hughes	Forward	23	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Allen Strothers	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Davion Bradford	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	37	6-15	3-6	3-4	17	1	3	18
Bernard Pelote	Forward	28	5-13	1-5	2-3	6	2	2	13
Chevalier Emery	G	21	5-7	1-1	2-3	3	4	0	13
Cord Stansberry	G	29	3-7	2-5	4-4	3	1	0	12
Vernon Collins	F	21	3-3	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	10
CJ Hyland	G	22	1-5	0-1	2-4	1	2	0	4
Brandon Morgan	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	4	0	2
Chase McKey	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Fischer Brown	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

98.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency98.4

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

38.0%Effective FG%50.9%

42.6%True Shooting %55.5%

7.4%Turnover Rate17.5%

22.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

38.0%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.