Canisius

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Canisius

67.3%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNiagara -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL132.5

MODEL MONEYLINENiagara -206

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCanisius 64

Projected Total132.5

Projected ScoreNiagara 69

Team Comparison

CanisiusMetricNiagara

33.9MMH Power Index35.8

97.1Offensive Efficiency100.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

-11.7Net Efficiency-11.6

-1.8Strength of Schedule-0.8

-10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

64.8Tempo63.4

46.8%Effective FG%50.9%

19.6%Turnover Rate18.8%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

32.4%Free Throw Rate27.3%

-7.5Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–33.9), offensive efficiency (100.8–97.1), net efficiency (-11.6–-11.7), strength of schedule (-0.8–-1.8).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.8–112.4), offensive rebounding (29.1–24.9), free throw rate (32.4–27.3).

Final

Canisius

60—71

Niagara

Niagara by 11 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CanisiusTEAM STATNiagara

23-47FG24-51

49.0%FG%47.0%

4-133PT3-22

31.0%3PT%14.0%

10-14FT20-23

71.0%FT%87.0%

29Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists12

15Turnovers9

3Steals8

1Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gianni Thompson	Forward	22	6-7	4-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	17
Paul McMillan IV	Guard	37	6-14	0-2	4-6	5	2	1	0	16
Cameron Palesse	G	35	4-7	0-1	3-4	10	2	1	1	11
Tana Kopa	Guard	40	2-5	0-3	2-2	4	1	1	0	6
Dylan Godfrey	F	22	3-7	0-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	6
Anthony Benard	G	34	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	4
Evan van der Plas	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Davis	G	32	8-12	0-1	8-9	4	3	2	1	24
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	18	6-6	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	13
Jaeden Marshall	G	27	4-8	1-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	11
Will Shortt	F	11	4-4	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Zion Russell	G	24	1-3	0-2	6-6	5	2	0	0	8
Justice Smith	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Jahari Williamson	G	17	0-4	0-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Damondre McKnight	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Justin Page	G	31	0-7	0-4	0-0	1	4	1	1	0
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	24	0-3	0-3	0-0	6	0	3	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

93.3Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency93.3

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

53.2%Effective FG%50.0%

55.9%True Shooting %57.3%

23.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

29.8%Free Throw Rate45.1%

27.7%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Niagara won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.