Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Louisville

43.3%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -131

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricNC State

67.1MMH Power Index60.1

118.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

16.4Net Efficiency9.8

6.0Strength of Schedule6.4

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

71.0Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

11.7Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–60.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–118.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–108.6), net efficiency (16.4–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.4–6.0), ball security (13.1–16.8), free throw rate (35.7–34.1).

Final

Louisville

91—66

NC State

Louisville by 25 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATNC State

35-55FG22-61

64.0%FG%36.0%

11-193PT11-33

58.0%3PT%33.0%

10-11FT11-17

91.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds14

18Assists16

17Turnovers12

9Steals8

4Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reyne Smith	Guard	35	7-12	5-9	2-2	0	0	1	0	21
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	34	8-12	4-4	1-2	4	5	2	0	21
J'Vonne Hadley	G	36	7-11	1-2	2-2	9	4	2	0	17
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	31	5-7	1-2	4-4	3	6	2	0	15
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	15	4-5	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	1	9
James Scott	F	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	2	6
Khani Rooths	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Noah Waterman	Forward	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Cole Sherman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Patrick Antonelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Parker	G	22	5-13	3-6	0-0	1	3	0	0	13
Breon Pass	Guard	20	4-10	2-7	2-2	0	1	0	0	12
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	14	5-7	2-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	12
Marcus Hill	G	22	3-9	1-3	3-3	3	1	1	0	10
Dontrez Styles	Guard	34	2-7	1-5	0-0	3	3	1	1	5
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	19	0-2	0-0	4-6	3	0	0	0	4
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	2-2	10	4	0	1	4
Jayden Taylor	Guard	22	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	3
Michael O'Connell	Guard	19	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Bryce Heard	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

132.5Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency132.5

36.4Net Efficiency-36.4

73.6%Effective FG%45.1%

75.6%True Shooting %47.8%

24.2%Turnover Rate17.9%

20.0%Free Throw Rate27.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate54.1%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Louisville won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.