Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Florida State

59.5%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -147

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 79

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreWake Forest 82

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricWake Forest

58.7MMH Power Index57.6

111.9Offensive Efficiency112.4

108.5Defensive Efficiency109.7

3.4Net Efficiency2.7

5.7Strength of Schedule7.2

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

71.8Tempo70.2

52.4%Effective FG%52.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.1%

2.4Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–57.6), defensive efficiency (108.5–109.7), net efficiency (3.4–2.7), recent form (7.6–-0.1).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–111.9), strength of schedule (7.2–5.7), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.4).

Final

Florida State

72—70

Wake Forest

Florida State by 2 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATWake Forest

26-58FG26-55

45.0%FG%47.0%

7-233PT6-17

30.0%3PT%35.0%

13-18FT12-17

72.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists12

9Turnovers10

6Steals4

4Blocks3

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	30	7-17	1-6	0-2	6	2	2	0	15
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	24	4-8	3-6	4-4	3	1	0	1	15
Malique Ewin	F	37	6-11	0-0	2-4	12	0	1	2	14
Daquan Davis	G	26	1-3	1-2	5-6	3	3	0	0	8
Justin Thomas	G	19	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Jerry Deng	F	13	2-5	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	6
Chandler Jackson	G	28	1-6	0-2	0-0	0	4	2	0	2
AJ Swinton	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Bostyn Holt	Guard	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Alier Maluk	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	37	8-14	3-4	3-5	2	2	0	0	22
Hunter Sallis	Guard	39	6-12	2-5	6-8	6	3	1	0	20
Tre'Von Spillers	F	36	5-8	1-2	2-2	4	4	2	2	13
Efton Reid III	Forward	28	4-7	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	8
Juke Harris	G	15	3-7	0-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	24	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	1	0
Omaha Biliew	F	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Parker Friedrichsen	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

106.8Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency106.8

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

50.9%Effective FG%52.7%

54.1%True Shooting %55.5%

13.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.0%Free Throw Rate30.9%

39.7%3-Point Rate30.9%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Florida State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.