Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Xavier

73.7%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL169.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -280

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 81

Projected Total169.5

Projected ScoreProvidence 89

Team Comparison

XavierMetricProvidence

49.5MMH Power Index54.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

112.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

-3.2Net Efficiency1.8

5.6Strength of Schedule4.0

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

71.7Tempo74.2

51.7%Effective FG%55.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-2.3Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), net efficiency (1.8–-3.2), recent form (-1.3–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.6–4.0), ball security (13.9–16.7).

Final

Xavier

91—82

Providence

Xavier by 9 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATProvidence

26-59FG36-67

44.0%FG%54.0%

13-273PT8-25

48.0%3PT%32.0%

26-29FT2-10

90.0%FT%20.0%

35Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists16

11Turnovers13

7Steals2

3Blocks2

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	30	7-11	6-9	6-6	3	1	0	0	26
Zach Freemantle	Forward	25	7-15	3-5	6-7	9	0	1	0	23
Ryan Conwell	G	31	4-12	2-7	7-8	8	4	1	0	17
Dailyn Swain	G	31	3-7	0-1	7-8	4	4	2	0	13
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	32	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	1	6
Jerome Hunter	Forward	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	2	3
John Hugley IV	F	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Marcus Foster	Guard	28	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	35	7-14	1-6	0-1	7	7	0	0	15
Justyn Fernandez	G	32	5-11	4-7	1-1	4	1	1	0	15
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	21	7-7	0-0	0-3	5	0	0	1	14
Jayden Pierre	G	37	6-13	1-5	0-0	2	4	0	0	13
Ryan Mela	G	27	6-10	0-0	1-5	10	2	0	0	13
Rich Barron	F	30	3-7	2-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Anton Bonke	C	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Nilavan Daniels	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Eli DeLaurier	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

123.3Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency123.3

12.2Net Efficiency-12.2

55.1%Effective FG%59.7%

62.5%True Shooting %57.1%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

49.2%Free Throw Rate14.9%

45.8%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Xavier won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.