LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.1%LSU

89.9%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL171.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -890

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 78

Projected Total171.3

Projected ScoreArkansas 93

Team Comparison

LSUMetricArkansas

54.2MMH Power Index69.3

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

4.2Net Efficiency12.4

4.5Strength of Schedule8.6

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.5Tempo73.8

53.4%Effective FG%56.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

2.9Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.3), net efficiency (12.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–31.8), free throw rate (41.9–36.5).

Final

LSU

58—70

Arkansas

Arkansas by 12 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATArkansas

25-64FG28-54

39.0%FG%52.0%

5-203PT4-12

25.0%3PT%33.0%

3-6FT10-17

50.0%FT%59.0%

33Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists17

9Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks7

19Fouls10

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Miller III	F	29	8-13	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	0	16
Cam Carter	Guard	34	4-15	3-7	2-2	3	4	0	0	13
Vyctorius Miller	G	14	4-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Corey Chest	F	25	3-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	7
Derek Fountain	Forward	11	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Daimion Collins	F	11	2-7	0-1	0-1	6	1	0	0	4
Dji Bailey	Guard	28	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	2	2	1	2
Jordan Sears	Guard	27	1-5	0-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Curtis Givens III	G	13	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Mike Williams	G	6	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Trey'Dez Green	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	28	10-13	3-5	2-2	3	0	1	4	25
Johnell Davis	Guard	36	4-13	0-2	3-5	3	0	3	0	11
D.J. Wagner	G	28	4-8	0-1	2-2	3	7	0	0	10
Karter Knox	G	34	4-5	1-2	0-2	8	0	1	1	9
Adou Thiero	Forward	27	2-8	0-1	2-4	7	3	0	0	6
Billy Richmond III	G	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	4
Trevon Brazile	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	3
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

89.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency89.9

-18.6Net Efficiency18.6

43.0%Effective FG%55.6%

43.4%True Shooting %56.4%

13.7%Turnover Rate12.7%

9.4%Free Throw Rate31.5%

31.3%3-Point Rate22.2%

1.44Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.