California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%California Baptist

38.7%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL137.5

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -158

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 69

Projected Total137.5

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 68

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUT Arlington

58.3MMH Power Index49.6

106.5Offensive Efficiency102.7

99.0Defensive Efficiency97.9

7.5Net Efficiency4.8

1.8Strength of Schedule-0.8

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

68.2Tempo68.1

48.8%Effective FG%48.5%

17.9%Turnover Rate20.4%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

37.0%Free Throw Rate43.7%

5.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–49.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–102.7), net efficiency (7.5–4.8), strength of schedule (1.8–-0.8).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–99.0), free throw rate (43.7–37.0).

Final

California Baptist

79—82

UT Arlington

UT Arlington by 3 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUT Arlington

33-80FG27-53

41.0%FG%51.0%

6-223PT4-12

27.0%3PT%33.0%

7-8FT24-43

88.0%FT%56.0%

48Rebounds34

20Offensive Rebounds7

19Assists18

14Turnovers10

5Steals10

1Blocks6

30Fouls13

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javonte Johnson	Guard	39	6-9	3-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	15
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	34	5-22	0-6	2-3	3	5	1	0	12
AJ Braun	Forward	19	5-7	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	12
Bradey Henige	F	15	5-5	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	1	11
Tylen Riley	G	36	4-11	1-3	0-0	8	6	2	0	9
Martel Williams	G	15	4-11	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	9
Kendal Coleman	Forward	27	3-10	0-1	2-2	13	3	0	0	8
Adam Moussa	Guard	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sam Silverstein	G	28	0-1	0-0	0-0	7	3	0	0	0
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Griman	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Raysean Seamster	F	39	9-11	1-1	10-18	8	1	1	1	29
Lance Ware	Forward	35	5-9	0-0	4-10	8	0	5	2	14
Darius Burford	Guard	35	5-11	0-2	2-3	3	6	3	0	12
Brody Robinson	G	45	2-7	2-3	5-7	2	5	1	1	11
Kade Douglas	G	30	3-8	1-4	3-4	2	3	0	1	10
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	20	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Cameron Jackson	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Diante Smith	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

102.5Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency102.5

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

45.0%Effective FG%54.7%

47.1%True Shooting %55.8%

18.0%Turnover Rate13.1%

10.0%Free Throw Rate81.1%

27.5%3-Point Rate22.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

UT Arlington won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.