Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Mercyhurst

59.5%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -147

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 68

Projected Total140.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 72

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricCentral Connecticut

45.5MMH Power Index44.4

105.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.0

3.0Net Efficiency4.4

-5.7Strength of Schedule-7.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

65.9Tempo66.3

50.5%Effective FG%54.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate31.3%

2.0Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–105.2), net efficiency (4.4–3.0), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.5), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.8).

Mercyhurst COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.5–44.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.7–-7.7).

Final

Mercyhurst

63—73

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 10 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

26-57FG28-53

46.0%FG%53.0%

5-243PT8-21

21.0%3PT%38.0%

6-8FT9-13

75.0%FT%69.0%

25Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists21

12Turnovers16

6Steals6

—Blocks2

14Fouls8

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	33	7-14	3-7	1-1	4	2	0	18
Jeff Planutis	Forward	36	5-12	0-5	4-5	2	2	2	14
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	26	6-8	0-0	1-2	5	2	3	13
Aidan Reichert	Forward	29	4-12	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	8
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4
Max Jusianiec	G	30	1-7	1-6	0-0	5	2	1	3
Jake Lemelman	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	3
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
James Thomas	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Christian Gamble	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jones	Guard	32	7-11	3-5	2-2	3	8	1	0	19
Jayden Brown	Forward	23	6-10	0-3	4-6	8	1	0	0	16
Devin Haid	G	27	4-11	1-4	2-2	7	4	1	0	11
Darin Smith Jr.	F	22	4-6	3-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	11
Abdul Momoh	F	27	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Max Frazier	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	2	4
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	25	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Jaelen McGlone	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	25	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

94.0Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency94.0

-14.9Net Efficiency14.9

50.0%Effective FG%60.4%

51.8%True Shooting %61.7%

18.0%Turnover Rate23.8%

14.0%Free Throw Rate24.5%

42.1%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.