Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%Northern Arizona

88.0%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -733

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 67

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScorePortland State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricPortland State

36.9MMH Power Index50.2

107.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

114.8Defensive Efficiency100.2

-7.7Net Efficiency9.1

-1.8Strength of Schedule-5.6

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

66.6Tempo70.1

53.5%Effective FG%51.7%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-5.1Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–36.9), offensive efficiency (109.3–107.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–114.8), net efficiency (9.1–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–51.7), ball security (15.8–16.6).

Final

Northern Arizona

46—58

Portland State

Portland State by 12 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATPortland State

13-56FG23-52

23.0%FG%44.0%

4-223PT2-14

18.0%3PT%14.0%

16-21FT10-15

76.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds42

16Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists11

10Turnovers15

6Steals7

—Blocks8

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Diego Campisano	F	35	3-10	3-7	5-6	4	0	1	14
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	37	3-14	0-4	5-6	2	0	3	11
Jayden Jackson	G	36	4-12	1-3	2-3	3	3	0	11
Carson Towt	F	37	2-6	0-0	1-2	10	2	1	5
Dillan Baker	G	22	1-8	0-5	2-2	3	1	1	4
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Monty Bowser	G	20	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	29	5-9	1-4	4-4	5	4	2	0	15
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	25	6-8	1-1	0-0	7	0	1	0	13
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	37	5-5	0-0	1-2	15	0	1	2	11
Qiant Myers	Guard	35	4-12	0-1	1-3	2	5	0	3	9
Jaylin Henderson	G	36	3-11	0-4	1-2	5	2	3	2	7
Cole Farrell	G	15	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	9	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Hayden Curtiss	Center	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

75.3Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency75.3

-19.6Net Efficiency19.6

26.8%Effective FG%46.2%

34.9%True Shooting %49.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate24.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate28.8%

39.3%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Portland State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.