North Carolina A&T

11-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%North Carolina A&T

71.5%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADElon -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEElon -251

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina A&T 75

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreElon 82

Team Comparison

North Carolina A&TMetricElon

41.8MMH Power Index45.5

107.4Offensive Efficiency113.0

111.4Defensive Efficiency112.7

-4.0Net Efficiency0.3

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.4

-11.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

69.9Tempo69.1

51.5%Effective FG%52.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

46.7%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-2.8Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Elon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMElon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–41.8), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-4.0), strength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5).

North Carolina A&T COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.4–112.7), recent form (-11.2–-13.7), free throw rate (46.7–34.0).

Final

North Carolina A&T

60—59

Elon

North Carolina A&T by 1 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina A&TTEAM STATElon

24-57FG23-53

42.0%FG%43.0%

4-153PT7-18

27.0%3PT%39.0%

8-12FT6-8

67.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists6

12Turnovers15

11Steals6

1Blocks7

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

North Carolina A&T

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	40	7-16	1-6	6-8	6	1	5	0	21
Nikolaos Chitikoudis	F	38	9-15	0-0	1-2	9	2	1	1	19
Camian Shell	G	40	4-8	2-4	0-0	8	5	1	0	10
Jalal McKie	G	14	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Efstratios Kalliontzis	C	31	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Bryson Ogletree	G	37	0-9	0-2	1-2	1	1	2	0	1

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tajuan Simpkins	G	38	6-8	0-2	2-2	3	1	2	1	14
Takai Simpkins	G	33	4-16	2-6	1-2	3	2	1	1	11
Matt Van Komen	C	29	5-6	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	4	10
Drew King	G	30	2-5	2-3	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Sam Sherry	Forward	27	3-9	1-2	0-0	4	3	0	1	7
Isaac Harrell	F	22	1-4	1-4	1-2	5	0	1	0	4
Brayden Crump	F	14	1-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Kendall Campbell	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

94.8Offensive Efficiency93.2

93.2Defensive Efficiency94.8

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

45.6%Effective FG%50.0%

47.8%True Shooting %51.9%

18.8%Turnover Rate23.9%

21.1%Free Throw Rate15.1%

26.3%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.40

Game Summary

North Carolina A&T won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.