Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.6%Hofstra

47.4%William & Mary

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHofstra -111

William & Mary

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 77

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 77

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricWilliam & Mary

59.3MMH Power Index53.8

114.0Offensive Efficiency112.5

100.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

13.1Net Efficiency7.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.5

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

66.2Tempo73.9

52.2%Effective FG%55.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.0%Free Throw Rate45.3%

8.7Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hofstra HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHofstra holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.3–53.8), offensive efficiency (114.0–112.5), defensive efficiency (100.9–105.2), net efficiency (13.1–7.3).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.3–52.2), free throw rate (45.3–32.0).

Final

Hofstra

60—61

William & Mary

William & Mary by 1 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATWilliam & Mary

22-53FG21-45

42.0%FG%47.0%

9-293PT7-22

31.0%3PT%32.0%

7-11FT12-19

64.0%FT%63.0%

23Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists13

10Turnovers20

10Steals8

3Blocks1

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cruz Davis	G	35	9-17	3-8	1-3	3	3	1	1	22
TJ Gadsden	Guard	29	3-8	1-5	1-2	3	3	1	0	8
Jean Aranguren	G	28	2-7	1-3	2-2	8	4	2	0	7
Joshua DeCady	F	31	1-2	0-0	3-4	5	0	4	1	5
Khalil Farmer	G	24	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	2	1	5
German Plotnikov	G	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jaquan Sanders	G	20	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
KiJan Robinson	G	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Michael Graham	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Silas Sunday	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Lowe	G	27	6-7	0-0	3-7	4	1	2	0	15
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	31	4-8	3-5	3-3	6	0	1	0	14
Malachi Ndur	Forward	21	4-8	1-2	0-2	9	1	0	0	9
Ryan Jackson Jr.	G	8	3-4	1-2	0-1	0	0	1	0	7
Matteus Case	Guard	28	1-3	0-1	4-4	3	2	2	0	6
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	16	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Kyle Frazier	G	15	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Isaiah Mbeng	G	24	0-4	0-3	2-2	4	5	0	1	2
Keller Boothby	Forward	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Finn Lally	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Miles Hicks	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

93.6Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency93.6

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

50.0%Effective FG%54.4%

51.5%True Shooting %56.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate31.2%

20.8%Free Throw Rate42.2%

54.7%3-Point Rate48.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.