Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.5%Texas State

17.5%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -471

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 82

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 71

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricUL Monroe

49.4MMH Power Index30.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency101.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency117.1

4.3Net Efficiency-16.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

68.6Tempo71.7

51.3%Effective FG%48.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate40.6%

2.9Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–30.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–117.1), net efficiency (4.3–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.7), ball security (16.9–18.4), free throw rate (40.6–36.0).

Final

Texas State

72—60

UL Monroe

Texas State by 12 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

29-59FG21-58

49.0%FG%36.0%

4-133PT4-15

31.0%3PT%27.0%

10-18FT14-23

56.0%FT%61.0%

41Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists8

14Turnovers12

10Steals5

5Blocks7

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	20	9-15	1-1	3-4	4	1	1	0	22
Dylan Dawson	Guard	35	4-12	1-6	2-2	6	4	3	0	11
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	18	5-8	0-2	0-1	3	1	2	1	10
Christian Turner	Forward	30	4-5	0-0	1-3	9	3	2	2	9
Mark Drone	G	17	2-5	2-2	2-3	2	3	0	0	8
Joshua O'Garro	G	24	1-6	0-2	2-3	5	1	0	1	4
Nate Deer	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-2	5	0	1	0	4
Drue Drinnon	Guard	25	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	6	1	1	2
Austin Green	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Jones	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Bolden	G	40	7-21	0-2	6-9	7	0	4	0	20
Coltie Young	Guard	40	4-13	2-8	2-2	4	2	0	0	12
Makai Willis	C	38	5-9	0-1	2-2	7	0	1	4	12
Micah Caster	G	30	4-7	2-3	1-6	1	3	0	0	11
Jerry Ngopot	F	14	1-4	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	0	4
AD Diedhiou	Forward	26	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	3	1
Jacob Wilson	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

107.0Offensive Efficiency89.2

89.2Defensive Efficiency107.0

17.8Net Efficiency-17.8

52.5%Effective FG%39.7%

53.3%True Shooting %43.5%

20.7%Turnover Rate17.9%

30.5%Free Throw Rate39.7%

22.0%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Texas State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.