Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.9%Jacksonville

84.1%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -529

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 71

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 83

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricCentral Arkansas

43.6MMH Power Index54

109.8Offensive Efficiency113.9

110.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

-0.5Net Efficiency8.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.6Tempo71.0

51.7%Effective FG%54.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-0.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–43.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.8), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–29.6), free throw rate (33.9–30.7).

Final

Jacksonville

77—62

Central Arkansas

Jacksonville by 15 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

31-61FG22-50

51.0%FG%44.0%

12-263PT8-22

46.0%3PT%36.0%

3-6FT10-16

50.0%FT%63.0%

29Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists12

10Turnovers17

12Steals3

4Blocks4

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	25	6-14	3-6	1-2	5	4	2	1	16
Kent Jackson	G	19	5-7	4-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	14
Chris Arias	G	26	4-8	2-6	0-2	1	0	1	0	10
Kendall Munson	Forward	25	4-7	0-0	2-2	5	2	1	0	10
Zach Bell	G	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	7
Jakari Spence	Guard	29	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	6
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	15	2-7	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Donovan Rivers	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	2	4
Stephon Payne	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	1	4
Tito Deng	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Maximus Fuentes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nehemiah Turner	F	32	6-11	1-1	5-8	7	6	1	4	18
Ben Fox	Guard	33	5-8	5-8	0-0	1	0	1	0	15
Diogo Seixas	Forward	29	3-4	0-1	4-5	4	2	0	0	10
Cole McCormick	F	29	3-10	0-4	1-3	7	1	0	0	7
Owen Derhmann	G	30	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Mike Evbagharu	G	27	3-10	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Ethan Thomas	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

116.1Offensive Efficiency93.5

93.5Defensive Efficiency116.1

22.6Net Efficiency-22.6

60.7%Effective FG%52.0%

60.3%True Shooting %53.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate25.5%

9.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.40Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.