Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Marshall

60.9%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -156

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 75

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 79

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricSouth Alabama

52MMH Power Index51.4

114.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.7

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.7Tempo67.4

55.2%Effective FG%53.2%

16.5%Turnover Rate12.8%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

29.7%Free Throw Rate39.8%

3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (103.9–110.3), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (3.4–-4.9), ball security (12.8–16.5).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.0–51.4), offensive efficiency (114.7–110.3), strength of schedule (0.9–-3.7).

Final

Marshall

82—91

South Alabama

South Alabama by 9 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATSouth Alabama

30-77FG31-60

39.0%FG%52.0%

14-483PT2-13

29.0%3PT%15.0%

8-11FT27-33

73.0%FT%82.0%

42Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds6

18Assists12

11Turnovers6

3Steals4

7Blocks1

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	29	9-14	1-1	1-2	5	1	1	3	20
Mikal Dawson	Guard	41	6-17	6-17	0-0	7	2	1	0	18
Dezayne Mingo	G	38	6-17	2-10	0-0	3	5	0	0	14
Jalen Speer	G	32	3-12	3-12	0-0	2	4	0	0	9
Wyatt Fricks	F	21	2-4	1-3	3-3	2	0	1	3	8
Nate Martin	Forward	36	1-3	0-0	4-6	16	4	0	1	6
Will Moore	G	9	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cade Gibbs	Forward	10	1-5	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Ryan Nutter	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kai Spears	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	36	11-15	0-1	4-4	5	0	0	0	26
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	42	7-13	0-1	4-7	7	2	1	0	18
Myles Corey	G	38	5-12	1-3	6-6	4	2	0	0	17
JJ Wheat	G	24	2-2	0-0	6-8	2	1	0	0	10
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	18	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
John Broom	G	29	0-2	0-0	4-4	8	4	0	0	4
Judah Brown	Forward	19	1-6	0-5	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Jayden Cooper	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Randy Brady	F	9	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	2	1	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

48.1%Effective FG%53.3%

49.9%True Shooting %60.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate7.9%

14.3%Free Throw Rate55.0%

62.3%3-Point Rate21.7%

1.64Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.