Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Grand Canyon

23.4%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -327

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 77

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 71

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricTarleton State

59.8MMH Power Index44.6

109.2Offensive Efficiency103.2

99.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

10.1Net Efficiency1.6

2.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.3Tempo72.2

52.1%Effective FG%49.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

7.0Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.2–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.1–101.6), net efficiency (10.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.8–31.2), free throw rate (42.8–41.0).

Final

Grand Canyon

64—60

Tarleton State

Grand Canyon by 4 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATTarleton State

20-41FG24-58

49.0%FG%41.0%

2-123PT4-15

17.0%3PT%27.0%

22-28FT8-15

79.0%FT%53.0%

39Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists10

22Turnovers12

10Steals14

9Blocks4

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	35	6-10	0-2	7-8	8	3	2	2	19
Duke Brennan	F	34	5-5	0-0	2-2	14	0	1	0	12
JaKobe Coles	Forward	31	4-10	0-2	4-7	5	0	2	3	12
Makaih Williams	G	33	1-6	0-3	9-11	3	4	1	1	11
Collin Moore	Guard	20	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Lok Wur	Forward	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	2	5
Ray Harrison	Guard	29	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	5	2	1	0
Styles Phipps	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	37	6-15	3-8	1-4	6	6	6	0	16
Jordan Mizell	G	40	6-9	0-0	3-4	6	1	2	0	15
Izzy Miles	G	37	6-12	1-3	2-5	3	2	0	1	15
Chris Mpaka	F	28	4-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	8
Bubu Benjamin	G	24	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Keitenn Bristow	F	18	1-7	0-1	0-0	5	1	2	1	2
Nick Krass	G	16	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

95.2Offensive Efficiency89.3

89.3Defensive Efficiency95.2

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

51.2%Effective FG%44.8%

58.9%True Shooting %46.1%

33.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

68.3%Free Throw Rate25.9%

29.3%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.59Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.