Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Idaho State

61.1%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -157

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 74

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreMontana 79

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricMontana

45.9MMH Power Index45.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency108.6

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

-2.4Net Efficiency3.8

0.2Strength of Schedule-2.4

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

67.1Tempo71.2

52.2%Effective FG%56.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-1.6Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–45.4), offensive efficiency (111.0–108.6), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.4), ball security (16.5–19.2).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–113.4), net efficiency (3.8–-2.4), recent form (-6.5–-9.6).

Final

Idaho State

68—81

Montana

Montana by 13 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATMontana

23-66FG32-57

35.0%FG%56.0%

5-223PT6-13

23.0%3PT%46.0%

17-21FT11-16

81.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds38

17Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists15

9Turnovers12

8Steals7

3Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	36	9-18	2-4	13-16	4	4	3	0	33
Isaiah Griffin	F	38	8-15	1-3	4-5	5	2	0	2	21
AJ Burgin	Guard	24	3-9	2-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Jake O'Neil	Guard	30	1-10	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	2
Jackson Greene	Forward	21	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	0	2	0	2
Evan Otten	F	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Connor Hollenbeck	F	29	0-6	0-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	21	7-8	3-3	0-0	6	3	1	0	17
Joe Pridgen	Guard	25	5-7	0-0	2-3	6	1	2	0	12
Kai Johnson	Guard	28	4-8	0-1	2-3	3	2	2	0	10
Malik Messina-Moore	G	28	4-11	1-2	1-2	4	3	1	0	10
Brandon Whitney	Guard	25	3-5	0-0	4-4	1	1	0	0	10
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	19	4-8	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	8
Amari Jedkins	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	2	6
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Austin Patterson	Guard	23	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Jalen Foy	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

101.8Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency101.8

-19.5Net Efficiency19.5

38.6%Effective FG%61.4%

44.8%True Shooting %62.7%

13.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.8%Free Throw Rate28.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate22.8%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Montana won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.