Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Weber State

70.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -242

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 75

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreMontana State 82

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricMontana State

50.2MMH Power Index53.6

113.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

5.4Net Efficiency9.5

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

71.5Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.9Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Weber State

66—74

Montana State

Montana State by 8 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATMontana State

23-56FG23-52

41.0%FG%44.0%

4-193PT9-27

21.0%3PT%33.0%

16-21FT19-27

76.0%FT%70.0%

32Rebounds36

3Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists13

7Turnovers8

6Steals6

1Blocks4

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blaise Threatt	Guard	38	11-21	0-2	10-13	7	6	1	0	32
Viljami Vartiainen	G	34	4-11	4-9	2-2	4	0	0	0	14
Trevor Hennig	G	35	1-9	0-5	4-6	2	2	1	0	6
Alex Tew	Center	26	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	3	1	1	4
Declan Cutler	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Nigel Burris	F	30	1-7	0-3	0-0	9	0	0	0	2
Saadiq Moore	Guard	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	3	0	2
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Marko Sarenac	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabe Mullins	Guard	25	5-7	2-4	5-6	4	0	0	0	17
Brandon Walker	F	19	4-9	1-2	4-6	6	1	1	0	13
Patrick McMahon	G	22	3-6	1-1	4-5	5	1	2	1	11
Tyler Patterson	Guard	25	3-7	2-5	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	25	4-10	1-5	0-0	3	2	2	0	9
Bryce Zephir	G	25	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	7
Sam Lecholat	Forward	24	1-2	1-2	2-4	7	2	0	1	5
Chika Nduka	Forward	12	0-1	0-1	2-4	1	2	0	1	2
Jed Miller	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	1	0
Brian Goracke	Forward	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

95.8Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency95.8

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

44.6%Effective FG%52.9%

50.0%True Shooting %57.1%

10.0%Turnover Rate11.8%

37.5%Free Throw Rate51.9%

33.9%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.57Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Montana State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.