Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.4%Northern Colorado

33.6%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -198

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Projected Total163.6

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricSacramento State

53.7MMH Power Index43

116.0Offensive Efficiency106.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency112.0

8.4Net Efficiency-5.9

-4.3Strength of Schedule0.9

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

71.1Tempo73.2

56.9%Effective FG%48.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate41.8%

6.0Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–43.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–112.0), net efficiency (8.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-4.3), ball security (14.2–15.3), free throw rate (41.8–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

77—61

Sacramento State

Northern Colorado by 16 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATSacramento State

25-56FG24-62

45.0%FG%39.0%

10-263PT4-20

38.0%3PT%20.0%

17-21FT9-12

81.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists12

11Turnovers10

7Steals9

5Blocks4

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	34	6-13	3-7	9-10	8	3	5	2	24
Langston Reynolds	G	28	6-10	0-0	2-3	4	4	0	2	14
Jaron Rillie	Guard	28	4-6	2-4	1-1	4	2	1	1	11
Marcell McCreary	G	18	4-10	3-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Taeshaud Jackson	F	14	1-1	1-1	4-4	5	2	0	0	7
Brock Wisne	F	25	2-5	0-0	1-3	6	3	1	0	5
Zach Bloch	G	23	1-6	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Quinn Denker	G	24	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
William Humer	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Egan Shields	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Radek Homer	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leo Ricketts	Guard	40	5-11	0-3	1-2	4	4	3	0	11
Deonte Williams	Guard	17	4-9	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	10
Emil Skytta	G	14	3-9	2-6	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Chudi Dioramma	F	13	3-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	8
Michael Wilson	G	32	3-7	1-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	7
Lachlan Brewer	G	37	2-5	0-0	2-4	4	0	2	1	6
Jacob Holt	Forward	27	2-13	0-5	2-2	9	3	0	1	6
EJ Neal Jr.	G	20	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	4	0	2	5

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency87.9

87.9Defensive Efficiency111.0

23.1Net Efficiency-23.1

53.6%Effective FG%41.9%

58.4%True Shooting %45.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate19.4%

46.4%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.73Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.