Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Cal Poly

69.7%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL171.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -230

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 83

Projected Total171.9

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 89

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Fullerton

46.5MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

-3.8Net Efficiency1.7

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.2

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

76.6Tempo76.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

19.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-2.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–111.0), net efficiency (1.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.2), offensive rebounding (29.9–25.5).

Final

Cal Poly

98—83

Cal State Fullerton

Cal Poly by 15 • 85.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

35-72FG30-64

49.0%FG%47.0%

13-303PT7-24

43.0%3PT%29.0%

15-17FT16-22

88.0%FT%73.0%

38Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds6

22Assists8

12Turnovers17

11Steals5

2Blocks5

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cayden Ward	G	15	7-10	4-5	1-2	7	1	0	1	19
Jarred Hyder	Guard	35	6-10	2-4	3-4	4	6	1	0	17
Owen Koonce	Guard	32	7-16	3-7	0-0	3	3	1	1	17
Mac Riniker	Guard	21	6-9	1-2	2-2	3	2	2	0	15
Peter Bandelj	G	27	3-4	0-0	6-6	8	4	3	0	12
Guzman Vasilic	G	27	3-9	2-6	0-0	5	2	1	0	8
Isaac Jessup	Guard	33	2-10	1-6	0-0	4	3	2	0	5
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	9	1-4	0-0	3-3	1	1	1	0	5
Ethan Menzies	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Richard	Guard	32	8-15	4-7	2-2	3	0	0	1	22
Donovan Oday	G	26	7-11	0-1	1-2	8	2	0	1	15
Kobe Young	Guard	26	3-7	1-3	5-8	4	1	0	0	12
Kendrick De Luna	F	32	5-9	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	2	11
Antwan Robinson	Guard	34	3-15	1-11	1-1	5	2	1	0	8
Kaleb Brown	G	16	3-4	1-1	1-1	7	1	0	1	8
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	27	1-3	0-1	3-4	2	1	3	0	5
John Mikey Square	Not Available	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

85.3Possessions85.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency114.9

17.6Net Efficiency-17.6

57.6%Effective FG%52.3%

61.2%True Shooting %55.7%

14.1%Turnover Rate19.9%

23.6%Free Throw Rate34.4%

41.7%3-Point Rate37.5%

1.83Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 85.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.