Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Illinois State

35.6%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -181

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 75

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricIndiana State

54.3MMH Power Index44.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

101.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

9.2Net Efficiency-1.3

1.0Strength of Schedule0.1

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo70.3

54.3%Effective FG%53.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

6.2Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (101.4–106.0), net efficiency (9.2–-1.3).

Final

Illinois State

76—85

Indiana State

Indiana State by 9 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATIndiana State

27-55FG28-55

49.0%FG%51.0%

8-243PT11-24

33.0%3PT%46.0%

14-16FT18-21

88.0%FT%86.0%

28Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists14

15Turnovers13

6Steals5

3Blocks3

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	29	8-13	1-2	5-6	11	4	0	0	22
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	7-15	4-9	3-4	4	2	1	0	21
Landon Wolf	G	31	5-6	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Ty Pence	G	27	2-5	0-1	2-2	4	2	2	0	6
Dalton Banks	Guard	19	1-4	0-2	2-2	0	3	1	0	4
Caden Boser	Forward	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Jack Daugherty	F	11	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	20	0-4	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	1	2
Jordan Davis	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	39	14-23	6-9	2-3	1	4	2	1	36
Jaden Daughtry	F	17	5-8	0-0	4-4	5	2	1	1	14
Camp Wagner	G	39	2-7	2-7	5-5	5	2	2	1	11
Derek Vorst	C	17	4-6	1-2	2-3	5	2	0	0	11
Bruno Alocen	G	27	3-5	2-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	10
Jayan Walker	G	16	0-2	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	0	3
K'mani Doughty	Guard	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Aaron Gray	Forward	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Markus Harding	C	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Josiah LeGree	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

111.3Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency111.3

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

56.4%Effective FG%60.9%

60.7%True Shooting %65.4%

21.9%Turnover Rate19.1%

29.1%Free Throw Rate38.2%

43.6%3-Point Rate43.6%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.