Bucknell

10-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Bucknell

72.0%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -257

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBucknell 69

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreLafayette 76

Team Comparison

BucknellMetricLafayette

35.7MMH Power Index39.6

99.5Offensive Efficiency102.9

112.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

-13.3Net Efficiency-7.4

2.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

67.7Tempo67.5

48.4%Effective FG%49.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-8.9Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–35.7), offensive efficiency (102.9–99.5), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.8), net efficiency (-7.4–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-1.4), offensive rebounding (26.6–25.7).

Final

Bucknell

75—69

Lafayette

Bucknell by 6 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BucknellTEAM STATLafayette

28-54FG21-52

52.0%FG%40.0%

8-193PT9-26

42.0%3PT%35.0%

11-12FT18-31

92.0%FT%58.0%

35Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists14

14Turnovers9

3Steals9

2Blocks3

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Williamson	C	29	8-13	4-7	4-4	8	1	0	0	24
Brandon McCreesh	G	23	5-6	2-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	14
Achile Spadone	G	32	4-7	0-2	1-1	4	1	2	1	9
Josh Bascoe	Guard	36	4-12	0-2	0-0	4	8	0	0	8
Ruot Bijiek	F	23	3-6	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	1	7
Pip Ajayi	Forward	11	2-4	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	6
Jayden Williams	G	19	1-5	0-1	2-3	3	3	1	0	4
Elvin Edmonds IV	Guard	25	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Josh Fulton	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Chaikin	G	35	6-13	4-8	7-11	3	0	0	0	23
Caleb Williams	G	26	4-10	3-7	2-5	0	4	1	0	13
Justin Vander Baan	C	33	3-7	0-1	4-6	5	3	1	3	10
Ryan Pettit	G	27	2-5	1-4	2-3	4	2	1	0	7
Mark Butler	G	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Misha Bednostin	C	7	2-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
Andrew Phillips	G	32	0-5	0-2	3-4	6	1	3	0	3
Luka Savicevic	G	22	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
TJ Berger	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-1	2	1	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

110.0Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.8Net Efficiency-8.8

59.3%Effective FG%49.0%

62.8%True Shooting %51.7%

20.4%Turnover Rate13.3%

22.2%Free Throw Rate59.6%

35.2%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Bucknell won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.