Boston College

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.2%Boston College

89.8%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -880

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoston College 68

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreNC State 83

Team Comparison

Boston CollegeMetricNC State

45.1MMH Power Index60.1

100.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

104.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

-4.8Net Efficiency9.8

4.8Strength of Schedule6.4

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

67.4Tempo70.2

47.1%Effective FG%55.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

-3.3Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–45.1), offensive efficiency (118.4–100.0), net efficiency (9.8–-4.8), strength of schedule (6.4–4.8).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–108.6).

Final

Boston College

62—70

NC State

NC State by 8 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boston CollegeTEAM STATNC State

17-48FG24-61

35.0%FG%39.0%

5-183PT5-23

28.0%3PT%22.0%

23-27FT17-25

85.0%FT%68.0%

41Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists14

16Turnovers5

4Steals12

4Blocks3

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donald Hand Jr.	G	35	6-17	3-7	7-8	6	0	0	0	22
Chad Venning	Forward	26	5-10	0-1	4-4	8	0	1	1	14
Chas Kelley III	G	29	4-6	0-2	2-2	2	4	1	0	10
Fred Payne	G	25	1-6	1-3	6-6	8	1	2	0	9
Elijah Strong	F	20	1-4	1-2	0-3	4	0	0	0	3
Dion Brown	G	24	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Roger McFarlane	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Jayden Hastings	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	0
Luka Toews	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Joshua Beadle	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	37	6-16	2-8	5-6	3	1	4	1	19
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	12	3-5	0-0	5-5	1	0	1	0	11
Marcus Hill	G	31	3-9	0-3	2-4	6	0	1	0	8
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	21	3-7	0-3	1-4	5	2	0	1	7
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	28	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	3	1	6
Michael O'Connell	Guard	28	1-5	1-2	3-5	4	6	2	0	6
Breon Pass	Guard	14	2-4	1-1	1-1	1	1	0	0	6
Trey Parker	G	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Dontrez Styles	Guard	18	1-6	0-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

92.0Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency92.0

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

40.6%Effective FG%43.4%

51.0%True Shooting %48.0%

23.9%Turnover Rate7.4%

56.3%Free Throw Rate41.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.38Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

NC State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.